RISK AND ECONOMIC DECISION ANALYSIS AND PROJECT RISK MANAGEMENT


  John Schuyler
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  Tim Nieman
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  Key concepts

Courses and Consulting

Planning Press

Evaluation Tips

Coaching for Success

Site Terms of Use

Courses and assistance in decision analysis for maximizing value under uncertainty for capital investments, project portfolios, corporate planning, engineering design, and other resource allocation decisions.

PetroSkills, LLC, is the sponsor of John's two Petroleum industry courses, taught and supported also by Tim Nieman.

Capital Investment Decisions * Corporate Planning and Portfolio Optimization
Decision Policy * Project Planning and Risk Management * Business and Engineering Modeling

Course comparisons and selection guide

"Risk and Decision Analysis" brochure (pdf file)

Utility Elicitation Program (UEP)* **
Under Reconstruction. The calculation and functionality improvements are not yet implemented. UEP still works as before. The only change is the prototype interfaces.
UEP helps you define your best personal or corporate risk policy.
Login to access UEP and several whitepapers and tutorials.
* Free for most users.
** UEP 5 will add many features, most-notably an option to present project outcomes as continuous distributions.

Planning Press™

Evaluation Tips

Index to Evaluation and Modeling Tips, Books and Articles

   Bayes' Rule and Covid-19 Tests   (pdf file)

Is modern economic theory wrong? Check out "Ergodicity and Investments."

Ergodicity and Investments, Part 1 (pdf file)

To maximize your enjoyment, please carefully condider the problem presented in part 1 before downloading and reading Part 2.

Ergodicity and Investments, Part 2 (pdf file)


Tip 134  Tim’s Yacht—Betting (Investing) for a Potential Huge Payoff
Tip 133  Goal Seek Method for Fast IRR Solutions
Tip 132  “For Forecasts, Bet on Monte Carlo Methods” by Jo Craven McGinty
Tip 131  Brain Rules: 12 Principles for Surviving and Thriving at Work, Home, and School by John Medina
Tip 130  Brain Bugs by Dean Buonomano
Tip 129  $3 million watermelon (fun with IRR)
Tip 29  revised Monte Carlo Stopping Rule, Part 2


 © 1996-2023 John R. Schuyler. Updated Feb. 8, 2023.
Map to John's home/office: Google Maps   Bing Map

15492 East Chenango Ave, Aurora, CO, 80015, USA (Aurora is a Denver suburb)

Google Satellite photo (The street at the left is Chambers Road, and the major diagonal southwest street is Smoky Hill Road).
We are in the second cul-de-sac on the left below the tennis courts.