| Tip | 
               Topic | 
               Date | 
               Revised | 
             
             
              | Tip 135 | 
                 The Perfect Bet by Adam Kucharski | 
              Eeb 2018 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 134 | 
              Tim's Yacht—betting (investing) for a potential huge payoff | 
              Dec 2017 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 133 | 
              Goal Seek method for fast IRR solutions | 
              rev. Oct 2017 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 132 | 
              For Forecasts, Bet on Monte Carlo Methods | 
              8/1/2016 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 131 | 
              Brain Rules: 12 Principles for Surviving and Thriving | 
              11/1/2015 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 130 | 
              Brain Bugs: How the Brain's Flaws Shape Our Lives | 
              2/1/2014 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 129 | 
              $3.29 million Watermelon: Fun with IRR | 
              1/1/2014 | 
              1/1/2015 | 
            
             
              | Tip 128 | 
              To Forgive Design: Understanding Failure | 
              5/1/2013 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 127 | 
              Car Loan Interest Rate Calculation | 
              4/1/2013 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 126 | 
              The Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable  | 
              4/1/2013 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 125 | 
              Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb | 
              3/1/2013 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 124 | 
              Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman | 
              3/1/2013 | 
              2/1/2014 | 
            
             
              | Tip 123 | 
              The Coming Generational Storm: What You Need to Know about America ... | 
              9/1/2012 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 122 | 
              Advances in Decision Analysis from Foundations to Applications | 
              8/1/2012 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 121 | 
              The Clash of Generations: Saving Ourselves, Our Kids, and Our Economy | 
              4/1/2012 | 
              9/1/2012 | 
            
             
              | Tip 120 | 
              The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine | 
              4/1/2011 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 119 | 
              Making Good Decisions | 
              3/1/2011 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 118 | 
              This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly | 
              7/1/2010 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 117 | 
              The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix It | 
              7/1/2009 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 116 | 
              How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business | 
              6/1/2008 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 115 | 
              Computerized Third Party (CTP) for group decision-making and negotiations | 
              10/1/2006 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 114 | 
              Last Days on Earth (20/20) | 
              8/1/2006 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 113 | 
              Optimizer's Curse | 
              5/1/2006 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 112 | 
              Forecasting Shareholder Value: The Missing Objective in Balanced Scorecards | 
              5/1/2006 | 
              8/1/2006 | 
            
             
              | Tip 111 | 
              Ahead of the Curve by Joseph Ellis | 
              3/6/2006 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 110 | 
              Critical Chain Project Management by Lawrence P. Leach | 
              1/6/2006 | 
              1/24/2006 | 
            
             
              | Tip 109 | 
              EMV and Shareholder Value | 
              1/6/2006 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 108 | 
              Decision-making styles of women vs. men | 
              11/5/2005 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 107 | 
              Our Final Hour: A Scientist's Warning by Martin Rees | 
              3/1/2005 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 106 | 
              Justifying Training with Performance Improvement | 
              2/5/2005 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 105 | 
              The Paradox of Choice by Barry Schwartz | 
              2/5/2005 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 100 | 
              Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds | 
              11/5/2003 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 098 | 
              Risk, Uncertainty and Investment Decision-Making in the Upstream O&G Industry | 
              7/5/2003 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 097 | 
              'Portfolio Management: What is the Contribution to Shareholder Value?' | 
              6/5/2003 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 096 | 
              'Evolving Inventions' by John Koza, Martin Keane and Matthew Streeter | 
              2/5/2003 | 
              2/5/2003 | 
            
             
              | Tip 095 | 
              Markets, Mobs & Mayhemby Robert Menschel | 
              1/5/2003 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 094 | 
              Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Taleb | 
              10/5/2002 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 093 | 
              Jack: Straight from the Gut by Jack Welch | 
              2/5/2002 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 090 | 
              John's advice to young people for a great career and happy life | 
              1/5/2002 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 089 | 
              Good to Great by Jim Collins (exceptional business management book) | 
              1/5/2002 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 086 | 
              'Why So Many People Made So Many Brain-Dead Investments' | 
              8/5/2001 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 078 | 
              'America, the beautiful carbon sink' by Peter Huber | 
              12/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 077 | 
              Reverse Auctions | 
              11/1/2000 | 
              12/1/2000 | 
            
             
              | Tip 076 | 
              'Making Decisions with Precision' (optimization software) | 
              10/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 074 | 
              The Greatest Inventions of the Past 2,000 Years | 
              7/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 073 | 
              Re-Creating the Corporation by Russell Ackoff | 
              7/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 072 | 
              Managing by the Numbers by Chuck Kremer, et al. | 
              6/1/2000 | 
              11/5/2017 | 
            
             
              | Tip 070 | 
              'Process Control with Intelligence: A Unified Approach' | 
              5/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 069 | 
              'Lessons Learned Through Process Thinking and Review' | 
              4/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 063 | 
              The Accidental Theorist by Paul Krugman | 
              11/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 060 | 
              PowerPoint: an Inferior Solution ... for me | 
              9/1/1999 | 
              12/1/2000 | 
            
             
              | Tip 059 | 
              Seeing Tomorrow: Rewriting the Rules of Risk | 
              9/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 057 | 
              The McKinsey Way by Ethan Raisel | 
              6/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 053 | 
              The Ostrich Factor: Our Population Myopia | 
              5/1/1999 | 
              1/1/2000 | 
            
             
              | Tip 052 | 
              Smart Choices: A Practical Guide to Making Better Decisions | 
              4/1/1999 | 
              5/1/1999 | 
            
             
              | Tip 047 | 
              Economic Risk in Hydrocarbon Exploration | 
              2/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 044 | 
              'The Perfect Decision', Inc. interview with Ralph Keeney et al. | 
              10/1/1998 | 
              5/1/1999 | 
            
             
              | Tip 043 | 
              The Enlightened Manager's Guidebook by Abraham Maslow | 
              10/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 042 | 
              'Management's New Paradigms' by Peter Drucker | 
              9/1/1998 | 
              10/1/1998 | 
            
             
              | Tip 041 | 
              'Of Mice and Economics' -- People resist a major precept of economics | 
              8/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 040 | 
              Billions & Billions by Carl Sagan | 
              8/1/1998 | 
              6/5/2017 | 
            
             
              | Tip 038 | 
              Company Value Added by OBM | 
              6/1/1998 | 
              8/1/1998 | 
            
             
              | Tip 035 | 
              'The End of Cheap Oil' | 
              3/1/1998 | 
              6/1/1999 | 
            
             
              | Tip 034 | 
              Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk | 
              2/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 027 | 
              5-Steps in the Creative Process | 
              12/1/1997 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 024 | 
              Participative Management (OBM) | 
              8/1/1997 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 023 | 
              Best Practices database | 
              8/1/1997 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 020 | 
              Why Flip a Coin: The Art and Science of Good Decisions | 
              7/1/1997 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 019 | 
              'Evaluation of Vision Correction Alternatives for Myopic Adults' | 
              5/1/1997 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 016 | 
              Shareholders Aren't Everything'; Built to Last; Three Cheers for Capitalism | 
              2/1/1997 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 015 | 
              Decision Analysis in Projects available | 
              1/1/1997 | 
              1/5/2017 | 
            
             
              | Tip 013 | 
              'Creativity in OR/MS: Creativity-Enhancing Strategies' Interfaces | 
              12/1/1996 | 
              3/1/1997 | 
            
             
              | Tip 011 | 
              Wise Choices: Decisions, Games, and Negotiations | 
              10/1/1996 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 008 | 
              The Ford Pinto Case: A Study in Applied Ethics, Business and Technology | 
              8/1/1996 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 006 | 
              'The New Religion of Risk Management' | 
              7/1/1996 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 004 | 
              Modeling for Learning Organizations | 
              6/1/1996 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 002 | 
              Making Hard Decisions by Robert Clemen | 
              8/1/1996 | 
              8/1/1996 | 
            
         
             
               | Tip | 
               Topic | 
               Date | 
               Revised | 
             
             
              | Tip 133 | 
              Goal Seek Interpolation Method: Solving for IRR Example | 
              9/26/2017 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 132 | 
              For Forecasts, Bet on Monte Carlo Methods | 
              8/1/2016 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 131 | 
              Brain Rules: 12 Principles for Surviving and Thriving | 
              11/1/2015 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 130 | 
              Brain Bugs: How the Brain's Flaws Shape Our Lives | 
              2/1/2014 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 129 | 
              $3.29 million Watermelon: Fun with IRR | 
              1/1/2014 | 
              1/1/2015 | 
            
             
              | Tip 128 | 
              To Forgive Design: Understanding Failure | 
              5/1/2013 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 127 | 
              Car Loan Interest Rate Calculation | 
              4/1/2013 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 126 | 
              The Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable  | 
              4/1/2013 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 125 | 
              Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb | 
              3/1/2013 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 124 | 
              Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman | 
              3/1/2013 | 
              2/1/2014 | 
            
             
              | Tip 122 | 
              Advances in Decision Analysis from Foundations to Applications | 
              8/1/2012 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 120 | 
              The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine | 
              4/1/2011 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 119 | 
              Making Good Decisions | 
              3/1/2011 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 118 | 
              This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly | 
              7/1/2010 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 117 | 
              The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix It | 
              7/1/2009 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 116 | 
              How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business | 
              6/1/2008 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 115 | 
              Computerized Third Party (CTP) for group decision-making and negotiations | 
              10/1/2006 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 113 | 
              Optimizer's Curse | 
              5/1/2006 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 112 | 
              Forecasting Shareholder Value: The Missing Objective in Balanced Scorecards | 
              5/1/2006 | 
              8/1/2006 | 
            
             
              | Tip 111 | 
              Ahead of the Curve by Joseph Ellis | 
              3/6/2006 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 110 | 
              Critical Chain Project Management by Lawrence P. Leach | 
              1/6/2006 | 
              1/24/2006 | 
            
             
              | Tip 109 | 
              EMV and Shareholder Value | 
              1/6/2006 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 106 | 
              Justifying Training with Performance Improvement | 
              2/5/2005 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 101 | 
              'Why Monte Carlo Simulations of Project Networks Can Mislead' | 
              9/5/2004 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 099 | 
              Model and Software Risks | 
              7/5/2003 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 098 | 
              Risk, Uncertainty and Investment Decision-Making in the Upstream O&G Industry | 
              7/5/2003 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 085 | 
              Cash Counts | 
              6/5/2001 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 084 | 
              'Tvalue' program for time value and amortization calculations | 
              3/5/2001 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 081 | 
              'AI Trilogy' (software for predicting, classifying, and optimizing) | 
              2/5/2001 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 080 | 
              Conditional Cell Formatting in Excel | 
              1/5/2001 | 
              4/1/2002 | 
            
             
              | Tip 079 | 
              XBRL: eXtensible Business Reporting Language | 
              12/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 077 | 
              Reverse Auctions | 
              11/1/2000 | 
              12/1/2000 | 
            
             
              | Tip 076 | 
              'Making Decisions with Precision' (optimization software) | 
              10/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 075 | 
              Not 'Estimating' Chance of Success | 
              10/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 068 | 
              Irrational Exuberance by Robert Shiller | 
              4/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 067 | 
              Dow 36,000 by Glassman and Hassett (includes Buffett reference) | 
              3/1/2000 | 
              3/1/2000 | 
            
             
              | Tip 065 | 
              Choice of Denominator in Investment Ranking Criterion | 
              2/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 064 | 
              Calculate Return on Your Investment with Excel | 
              1/1/2000 | 
              4/5/2017 | 
            
             
              | Tip 061 | 
              Formatting Thousands and Millions in Excel | 
              10/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 058 | 
              Real Options: Managing Strategic Investment in an Uncertain World | 
              7/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 056 | 
              Risk Management: Concepts and Guidance by Carl Pritchard, Ed. | 
              6/1/1999 | 
              1/5/2017 | 
            
             
              | Tip 050 | 
              Financial Models Using Simulation and Optimization by W. Winston | 
              3/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 049 | 
              'Probabilistic Addition of Gas Reserves Within a Major Gas Project' | 
              3/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 047 | 
              Economic Risk in Hydrocarbon Exploration | 
              2/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 046 | 
              Number. of Combinations of Investment Alternatives | 
              1/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 045 | 
              Competitive Bidding: Bid Fraction | 
              12/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 037 | 
              'Repealing the Law of Averages' | 
              3/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 036 | 
              Soft vs. Hard Problems | 
              3/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 029 | 
              Monte Carlo Stopping Rule, Part 2 (see Tip 25) | 
              1/1/1998 | 
              4/1/2000 | 
            
             
              | Tip 027 | 
              5-Steps in the Creative Process | 
              12/1/1997 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 026 | 
              Critical Chain | 
              11/1/1997 | 
              3/1/2000 | 
            
             
              | Tip 025 | 
              Monte Carlo Stopping Rule, Part 1 (see Tip 29) | 
              10/1/1997 | 
              10/1/1997 | 
            
             
              | Tip 023 | 
              Best Practices database | 
              8/1/1997 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 022 | 
              'Analytica' 1.1 for Windows | 
              7/1/1997 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 017 | 
              Agent-Based Simulation | 
              4/1/1997 | 
              11/5/2017 | 
            
             
              | Tip 014 | 
              Gradient Formula in Engineering Economics | 
              12/1/1996 | 
              8/1/1999 | 
            
             
              | Tip 013 | 
              'Creativity in OR/MS: Creativity-Enhancing Strategies' Interfaces | 
              12/1/1996 | 
              3/1/1997 | 
            
             
              | Tip 012 | 
              'PrecisionTree' Software | 
              12/1/1996 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 005 | 
              Restructuring Costs to Fudge the Numbers | 
              6/1/1996 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 004 | 
              Modeling for Learning Organizations | 
              6/1/1996 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 003 | 
              '@RISK' 3.5 for Excel 7.0 | 
              5/1/1996 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 002 | 
              Making Hard Decisions by Robert Clemen | 
              8/1/1996 | 
              8/1/1996 | 
            
             
              | Tip 001 | 
              Correct Setup for HP-12c Calculators | 
              8/1/1996 | 
              4/5/2017 | 
            
         
             
               | Tip | 
               Topic | 
               Date | 
               Revised | 
             
             
              | Tip 132 | 
              For Forecasts, Bet on Monte Carlo Methods | 
              8/1/2016 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 128 | 
              To Forgive Design: Understanding Failure | 
              5/1/2013 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 122 | 
              Advances in Decision Analysis from Foundations to Applications | 
              8/1/2012 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 119 | 
              Making Good Decisions | 
              3/1/2011 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 118 | 
              This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly | 
              7/1/2010 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 117 | 
              The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix It | 
              7/1/2009 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 116 | 
              How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business | 
              6/1/2008 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 114 | 
              Last Days on Earth (20/20) | 
              8/1/2006 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 113 | 
              Optimizer's Curse | 
              5/1/2006 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 111 | 
              Ahead of the Curve by Joseph Ellis | 
              3/6/2006 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 104 | 
              Geometric Mean and Harmonic Mean | 
              1/5/2005 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 094 | 
              Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Taleb | 
              10/5/2002 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 075 | 
              Not 'Estimating' Chance of Success | 
              10/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 059 | 
              Seeing Tomorrow: Rewriting the Rules of Risk | 
              9/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 058 | 
              Real Options: Managing Strategic Investment in an Uncertain World | 
              7/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 047 | 
              Economic Risk in Hydrocarbon Exploration | 
              2/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 046 | 
              Number. of Combinations of Investment Alternatives | 
              1/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 037 | 
              'Repealing the Law of Averages' | 
              3/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 033 | 
              Answer to the 'The Three Cards' Teaser Problem | 
              1/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 032 | 
              Visual Revelations by Howard Wainer | 
              1/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 031 | 
              Teaser Problem: 'The Three Cards' | 
              1/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 030 | 
              Improve Your Lottery Expected Value | 
              1/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 029 | 
              Monte Carlo Stopping Rule, Part 2 (see Tip 25) | 
              1/1/1998 | 
              4/1/2000 | 
            
             
              | Tip 026 | 
              Critical Chain | 
              11/1/1997 | 
              3/1/2000 | 
            
             
              | Tip 025 | 
              Monte Carlo Stopping Rule, Part 1 (see Tip 29) | 
              10/1/1997 | 
              10/1/1997 | 
            
             
              | Tip 021 | 
              Switch Award Paradox | 
              7/1/1997 | 
              8/1/1997 | 
            
             
              | Tip 020 | 
              Why Flip a Coin: The Art and Science of Good Decisions | 
              7/1/1997 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 009 | 
              The Problem with Girls (See also Tip 31) | 
              8/1/1996 | 
              1/1/1998 | 
            
             
              | Tip 006 | 
              'The New Religion of Risk Management' | 
              7/1/1996 | 
               | 
            
         
             
               | Tip | 
               Topic | 
               Date | 
               Revised | 
             
             
              | Tip 133 | 
              Goal Seek Interpolation Method: Solving for IRR Example | 
              9/26/2017 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 132 | 
              For Forecasts, Bet on Monte Carlo Methods | 
              8/1/2016 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 131 | 
              Brain Rules: 12 Principles for Surviving and Thriving | 
              11/1/2015 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 130 | 
              Brain Bugs: How the Brain's Flaws Shape Our Lives | 
              2/1/2014 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 129 | 
              $3.29 million Watermelon: Fun with IRR | 
              1/1/2014 | 
              1/1/2015 | 
            
             
              | Tip 128 | 
              To Forgive Design: Understanding Failure | 
              5/1/2013 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 127 | 
              Car Loan Interest Rate Calculation | 
              4/1/2013 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 126 | 
              The Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable  | 
              4/1/2013 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 125 | 
              Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb | 
              3/1/2013 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 124 | 
              Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman | 
              3/1/2013 | 
              2/1/2014 | 
            
             
              | Tip 123 | 
              The Coming Generational Storm: What You Need to Know about America ... | 
              9/1/2012 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 122 | 
              Advances in Decision Analysis from Foundations to Applications | 
              8/1/2012 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 121 | 
              The Clash of Generations: Saving Ourselves, Our Kids, and Our Economy | 
              4/1/2012 | 
              9/1/2012 | 
            
             
              | Tip 120 | 
              The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine | 
              4/1/2011 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 119 | 
              Making Good Decisions | 
              3/1/2011 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 118 | 
              This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly | 
              7/1/2010 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 117 | 
              The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix It | 
              7/1/2009 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 116 | 
              How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business | 
              6/1/2008 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 115 | 
              Computerized Third Party (CTP) for group decision-making and negotiations | 
              10/1/2006 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 114 | 
              Last Days on Earth (20/20) | 
              8/1/2006 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 113 | 
              Optimizer's Curse | 
              5/1/2006 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 112 | 
              Forecasting Shareholder Value: The Missing Objective in Balanced Scorecards | 
              5/1/2006 | 
              8/1/2006 | 
            
             
              | Tip 111 | 
              Ahead of the Curve by Joseph Ellis | 
              3/6/2006 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 110 | 
              Critical Chain Project Management by Lawrence P. Leach | 
              1/6/2006 | 
              1/24/2006 | 
            
             
              | Tip 109 | 
              EMV and Shareholder Value | 
              1/6/2006 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 108 | 
              Decision-making styles of women vs. men | 
              11/5/2005 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 107 | 
              Our Final Hour: A Scientist's Warning by Martin Rees | 
              3/1/2005 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 106 | 
              Justifying Training with Performance Improvement | 
              2/5/2005 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 105 | 
              The Paradox of Choice by Barry Schwartz | 
              2/5/2005 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 104 | 
              Geometric Mean and Harmonic Mean | 
              1/5/2005 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 103 | 
              Trading Chaos: Applying Expert Techniques to Maximize Your Profits | 
              12/5/2004 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 102 | 
              'Neural Network Control System for Steam Injection' | 
              9/5/2004 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 101 | 
              'Why Monte Carlo Simulations of Project Networks Can Mislead' | 
              9/5/2004 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 100 | 
              Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds | 
              11/5/2003 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 099 | 
              Model and Software Risks | 
              7/5/2003 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 098 | 
              Risk, Uncertainty and Investment Decision-Making in the Upstream O&G Industry | 
              7/5/2003 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 097 | 
              'Portfolio Management: What is the Contribution to Shareholder Value?' | 
              6/5/2003 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 096 | 
              'Evolving Inventions' by John Koza, Martin Keane and Matthew Streeter | 
              2/5/2003 | 
              2/5/2003 | 
            
             
              | Tip 095 | 
              Markets, Mobs & Mayhemby Robert Menschel | 
              1/5/2003 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 094 | 
              Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Taleb | 
              10/5/2002 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 093 | 
              Jack: Straight from the Gut by Jack Welch | 
              2/5/2002 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 092 | 
              More Warren Buffett books by Robert Hagstrom | 
              2/5/2002 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 091 | 
              Toward Rational Exuberance by Mark Smith | 
              1/5/2002 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 090 | 
              John's advice to young people for a great career and happy life | 
              1/5/2002 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 089 | 
              Good to Great by Jim Collins (exceptional business management book) | 
              1/5/2002 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 088 | 
              The Essential Buffett: Timeless Principles for the New Economy | 
              12/5/2001 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 087 | 
              Benefit of project risk management, and three types of model variables | 
              10/5/2001 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 086 | 
              'Why So Many People Made So Many Brain-Dead Investments' | 
              8/5/2001 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 085 | 
              Cash Counts | 
              6/5/2001 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 084 | 
              'Tvalue' program for time value and amortization calculations | 
              3/5/2001 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 081 | 
              'AI Trilogy' (software for predicting, classifying, and optimizing) | 
              2/5/2001 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 080 | 
              Conditional Cell Formatting in Excel | 
              1/5/2001 | 
              4/1/2002 | 
            
             
              | Tip 079 | 
              XBRL: eXtensible Business Reporting Language | 
              12/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 078 | 
              'America, the beautiful carbon sink' by Peter Huber | 
              12/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 077 | 
              Reverse Auctions | 
              11/1/2000 | 
              12/1/2000 | 
            
             
              | Tip 076 | 
              'Making Decisions with Precision' (optimization software) | 
              10/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 075 | 
              Not 'Estimating' Chance of Success | 
              10/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 074 | 
              The Greatest Inventions of the Past 2,000 Years | 
              7/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 073 | 
              Re-Creating the Corporation by Russell Ackoff | 
              7/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 072 | 
              Managing by the Numbers by Chuck Kremer, et al. | 
              6/1/2000 | 
              11/5/2017 | 
            
             
              | Tip 071 | 
              PMBOK® Guide, Project Management Body of Knowledge | 
              5/1/2000 | 
              10/5/2017 | 
            
             
              | Tip 070 | 
              'Process Control with Intelligence: A Unified Approach' | 
              5/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 069 | 
              'Lessons Learned Through Process Thinking and Review' | 
              4/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 068 | 
              Irrational Exuberance by Robert Shiller | 
              4/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 067 | 
              Dow 36,000 by Glassman and Hassett (includes Buffett reference) | 
              3/1/2000 | 
              3/1/2000 | 
            
             
              | Tip 066 | 
              'Swarm Smarts, Solving Complex Problems Using Ant Models' | 
              2/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 065 | 
              Choice of Denominator in Investment Ranking Criterion | 
              2/1/2000 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 064 | 
              Calculate Return on Your Investment with Excel | 
              1/1/2000 | 
              4/5/2017 | 
            
             
              | Tip 063 | 
              The Accidental Theorist by Paul Krugman | 
              11/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 062 | 
              Faster: The Acceleration of Just About Everything by James Gleick | 
              10/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 061 | 
              Formatting Thousands and Millions in Excel | 
              10/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 060 | 
              PowerPoint: an Inferior Solution ... for me | 
              9/1/1999 | 
              12/1/2000 | 
            
             
              | Tip 059 | 
              Seeing Tomorrow: Rewriting the Rules of Risk | 
              9/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 058 | 
              Real Options: Managing Strategic Investment in an Uncertain World | 
              7/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 057 | 
              The McKinsey Way by Ethan Raisel | 
              6/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 056 | 
              Risk Management: Concepts and Guidance by Carl Pritchard, Ed. | 
              6/1/1999 | 
              1/5/2017 | 
            
             
              | Tip 055 | 
              Critical path concept is the key idea for a new drillship design | 
              5/1/1999 | 
              12/1/2000 | 
            
             
              | Tip 054 | 
              Practical Risk Assessment for Project Management by S. Gray | 
              5/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 053 | 
              The Ostrich Factor: Our Population Myopia | 
              5/1/1999 | 
              1/1/2000 | 
            
             
              | Tip 052 | 
              Smart Choices: A Practical Guide to Making Better Decisions | 
              4/1/1999 | 
              5/1/1999 | 
            
             
              | Tip 051 | 
              Neural Networks | 
              4/1/1999 | 
              2/5/2017 | 
            
             
              | Tip 050 | 
              Financial Models Using Simulation and Optimization by W. Winston | 
              3/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 049 | 
              'Probabilistic Addition of Gas Reserves Within a Major Gas Project' | 
              3/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 048 | 
              'A Multifractal Walk down Wall Street' | 
              2/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 047 | 
              Economic Risk in Hydrocarbon Exploration | 
              2/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 046 | 
              Number. of Combinations of Investment Alternatives | 
              1/1/1999 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 045 | 
              Competitive Bidding: Bid Fraction | 
              12/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 044 | 
              'The Perfect Decision', Inc. interview with Ralph Keeney et al. | 
              10/1/1998 | 
              5/1/1999 | 
            
             
              | Tip 043 | 
              The Enlightened Manager's Guidebook by Abraham Maslow | 
              10/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 042 | 
              'Management's New Paradigms' by Peter Drucker | 
              9/1/1998 | 
              10/1/1998 | 
            
             
              | Tip 041 | 
              'Of Mice and Economics' -- People resist a major precept of economics | 
              8/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 040 | 
              Billions & Billions by Carl Sagan | 
              8/1/1998 | 
              6/5/2017 | 
            
             
              | Tip 039 | 
              Project Management in the Fast Lane: Applying the Theory of Constraints | 
              8/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 038 | 
              Company Value Added by OBM | 
              6/1/1998 | 
              8/1/1998 | 
            
             
              | Tip 037 | 
              'Repealing the Law of Averages' | 
              3/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 036 | 
              Soft vs. Hard Problems | 
              3/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 035 | 
              'The End of Cheap Oil' | 
              3/1/1998 | 
              6/1/1999 | 
            
             
              | Tip 034 | 
              Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk | 
              2/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 033 | 
              Answer to the 'The Three Cards' Teaser Problem | 
              1/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 032 | 
              Visual Revelations by Howard Wainer | 
              1/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 031 | 
              Teaser Problem: 'The Three Cards' | 
              1/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 030 | 
              Improve Your Lottery Expected Value | 
              1/1/1998 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 029 | 
              Monte Carlo Stopping Rule, Part 2 (see Tip 25) | 
              1/1/1998 | 
              4/1/2000 | 
            
             
              | Tip 027 | 
              5-Steps in the Creative Process | 
              12/1/1997 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 026 | 
              Critical Chain | 
              11/1/1997 | 
              3/1/2000 | 
            
             
              | Tip 025 | 
              Monte Carlo Stopping Rule, Part 1 (see Tip 29) | 
              10/1/1997 | 
              10/1/1997 | 
            
             
              | Tip 024 | 
              Participative Management (OBM) | 
              8/1/1997 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 023 | 
              Best Practices database | 
              8/1/1997 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 022 | 
              'Analytica' 1.1 for Windows | 
              7/1/1997 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 021 | 
              Switch Award Paradox | 
              7/1/1997 | 
              8/1/1997 | 
            
             
              | Tip 020 | 
              Why Flip a Coin: The Art and Science of Good Decisions | 
              7/1/1997 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 019 | 
              'Evaluation of Vision Correction Alternatives for Myopic Adults' | 
              5/1/1997 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 018 | 
              'Planning for Crises in Project Management' PMJ | 
              5/1/1997 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 017 | 
              Agent-Based Simulation | 
              4/1/1997 | 
              11/5/2017 | 
            
             
              | Tip 016 | 
              Shareholders Aren't Everything'; Built to Last; Three Cheers for Capitalism | 
              2/1/1997 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 015 | 
              Decision Analysis in Projects available | 
              1/1/1997 | 
              1/5/2017 | 
            
             
              | Tip 014 | 
              Gradient Formula in Engineering Economics | 
              12/1/1996 | 
              8/1/1999 | 
            
             
              | Tip 013 | 
              'Creativity in OR/MS: Creativity-Enhancing Strategies' Interfaces | 
              12/1/1996 | 
              3/1/1997 | 
            
             
              | Tip 012 | 
              'PrecisionTree' Software | 
              12/1/1996 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 011 | 
              Wise Choices: Decisions, Games, and Negotiations | 
              10/1/1996 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 010 | 
              'Project Risks and Risk Allocation' | 
              9/1/1996 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 009 | 
              The Problem with Girls (See also Tip 31) | 
              8/1/1996 | 
              1/1/1998 | 
            
             
              | Tip 008 | 
              The Ford Pinto Case: A Study in Applied Ethics, Business and Technology | 
              8/1/1996 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 007 | 
              A Random Walk Down Wall Street | 
              8/1/1996 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 006 | 
              'The New Religion of Risk Management' | 
              7/1/1996 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 005 | 
              Restructuring Costs to Fudge the Numbers | 
              6/1/1996 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 004 | 
              Modeling for Learning Organizations | 
              6/1/1996 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 003 | 
              '@RISK' 3.5 for Excel 7.0 | 
              5/1/1996 | 
               | 
            
             
              | Tip 002 | 
              Making Hard Decisions by Robert Clemen | 
              8/1/1996 | 
              8/1/1996 | 
            
             
              | Tip 001 | 
              Correct Setup for HP-12c Calculators | 
              8/1/1996 | 
              4/5/2017 |