The model is the centerpiece of a credible evaluation or forecast."


 

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This section catalogs "tips": short descriptions of books, articles, techniques and ideas useful in making better business and personal decisions.

The tips are organized into the following categories:

DECISION MAKING

EMERGING EVALUATION TECHNOLOGIES

EVALUATION TECHNIQUES

MARKETS AND TRADING

PROJECT MANAGEMENT

STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY

COMPLETE TIPS LIST


DECISION MAKING

Tip Topic Date Revised
Tip 133 Goal Seek Interpolation Method: Solving for IRR Example 9/26/2017
Tip 132 For Forecasts, Bet on Monte Carlo Methods 8/1/2016
Tip 131 Brain Rules: 12 Principles for Surviving and Thriving 11/1/2015
Tip 130 Brain Bugs: How the Brain's Flaws Shape Our Lives 2/1/2014
Tip 129 $3.29 million Watermelon: Fun with IRR 1/1/2014 1/1/2015
Tip 128 To Forgive Design: Understanding Failure 5/1/2013
Tip 127 Car Loan Interest Rate Calculation 4/1/2013
Tip 126 The Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable 4/1/2013
Tip 125 Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 3/1/2013
Tip 124 Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman 3/1/2013 2/1/2014
Tip 123 The Coming Generational Storm: What You Need to Know about America ... 9/1/2012
Tip 122 Advances in Decision Analysis from Foundations to Applications 8/1/2012
Tip 121 The Clash of Generations: Saving Ourselves, Our Kids, and Our Economy 4/1/2012 9/1/2012
Tip 120 The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine 4/1/2011
Tip 119 Making Good Decisions 3/1/2011
Tip 118 This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly 7/1/2010
Tip 117 The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix It 7/1/2009
Tip 116 How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business 6/1/2008
Tip 115 Computerized Third Party (CTP) for group decision-making and negotiations 10/1/2006
Tip 114 Last Days on Earth (20/20) 8/1/2006
Tip 113 Optimizer's Curse 5/1/2006
Tip 112 Forecasting Shareholder Value: The Missing Objective in Balanced Scorecards 5/1/2006 8/1/2006
Tip 111 Ahead of the Curve by Joseph Ellis 3/6/2006
Tip 110 Critical Chain Project Management by Lawrence P. Leach 1/6/2006 1/24/2006
Tip 109 EMV and Shareholder Value 1/6/2006
Tip 108 Decision-making styles of women vs. men 11/5/2005
Tip 107 Our Final Hour: A Scientist's Warning by Martin Rees 3/1/2005
Tip 106 Justifying Training with Performance Improvement 2/5/2005
Tip 105 The Paradox of Choice by Barry Schwartz 2/5/2005
Tip 100 Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds 11/5/2003
Tip 098 Risk, Uncertainty and Investment Decision-Making in the Upstream O&G Industry 7/5/2003
Tip 097 'Portfolio Management: What is the Contribution to Shareholder Value?' 6/5/2003
Tip 096 'Evolving Inventions' by John Koza, Martin Keane and Matthew Streeter 2/5/2003 2/5/2003
Tip 095 Markets, Mobs & Mayhemby Robert Menschel 1/5/2003
Tip 094 Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Taleb 10/5/2002
Tip 093 Jack: Straight from the Gut by Jack Welch 2/5/2002
Tip 090 John's advice to young people for a great career and happy life 1/5/2002
Tip 089 Good to Great by Jim Collins (exceptional business management book) 1/5/2002
Tip 086 'Why So Many People Made So Many Brain-Dead Investments' 8/5/2001
Tip 078 'America, the beautiful carbon sink' by Peter Huber 12/1/2000
Tip 077 Reverse Auctions 11/1/2000 12/1/2000
Tip 076 'Making Decisions with Precision' (optimization software) 10/1/2000
Tip 074 The Greatest Inventions of the Past 2,000 Years 7/1/2000
Tip 073 Re-Creating the Corporation by Russell Ackoff 7/1/2000
Tip 072 Managing by the Numbers by Chuck Kremer, et al. 6/1/2000 11/5/2017
Tip 070 'Process Control with Intelligence: A Unified Approach' 5/1/2000
Tip 069 'Lessons Learned Through Process Thinking and Review' 4/1/2000
Tip 063 The Accidental Theorist by Paul Krugman 11/1/1999
Tip 060 PowerPoint: an Inferior Solution ... for me 9/1/1999 12/1/2000
Tip 059 Seeing Tomorrow: Rewriting the Rules of Risk 9/1/1999
Tip 057 The McKinsey Way by Ethan Raisel 6/1/1999
Tip 053 The Ostrich Factor: Our Population Myopia 5/1/1999 1/1/2000
Tip 052 Smart Choices: A Practical Guide to Making Better Decisions 4/1/1999 5/1/1999
Tip 047 Economic Risk in Hydrocarbon Exploration 2/1/1999
Tip 044 'The Perfect Decision', Inc. interview with Ralph Keeney et al. 10/1/1998 5/1/1999
Tip 043 The Enlightened Manager's Guidebook by Abraham Maslow 10/1/1998
Tip 042 'Management's New Paradigms' by Peter Drucker 9/1/1998 10/1/1998
Tip 041 'Of Mice and Economics' -- People resist a major precept of economics 8/1/1998
Tip 040 Billions & Billions by Carl Sagan 8/1/1998 6/5/2017
Tip 038 Company Value Added by OBM 6/1/1998 8/1/1998
Tip 035 'The End of Cheap Oil' 3/1/1998 6/1/1999
Tip 034 Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk 2/1/1998
Tip 027 5-Steps in the Creative Process 12/1/1997
Tip 024 Participative Management (OBM) 8/1/1997
Tip 023 Best Practices database 8/1/1997
Tip 020 Why Flip a Coin: The Art and Science of Good Decisions 7/1/1997
Tip 019 'Evaluation of Vision Correction Alternatives for Myopic Adults' 5/1/1997
Tip 016 Shareholders Aren't Everything'; Built to Last; Three Cheers for Capitalism 2/1/1997
Tip 015 Decision Analysis in Projects available 1/1/1997 1/5/2017
Tip 013 'Creativity in OR/MS: Creativity-Enhancing Strategies' Interfaces 12/1/1996 3/1/1997
Tip 011 Wise Choices: Decisions, Games, and Negotiations 10/1/1996
Tip 008 The Ford Pinto Case: A Study in Applied Ethics, Business and Technology 8/1/1996
Tip 006 'The New Religion of Risk Management' 7/1/1996
Tip 004 Modeling for Learning Organizations 6/1/1996
Tip 002 Making Hard Decisions by Robert Clemen 8/1/1996 8/1/1996

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EMERGING EVALUATION TECHNOLOGIES

Tip Topic Date Revised
Tip 132 For Forecasts, Bet on Monte Carlo Methods 8/1/2016
Tip 130 Brain Bugs: How the Brain's Flaws Shape Our Lives 2/1/2014
Tip 126 The Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable 4/1/2013
Tip 125 Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 3/1/2013
Tip 124 Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman 3/1/2013 2/1/2014
Tip 115 Computerized Third Party (CTP) for group decision-making and negotiations 10/1/2006
Tip 114 Last Days on Earth (20/20) 8/1/2006
Tip 113 Optimizer's Curse 5/1/2006
Tip 103 Trading Chaos: Applying Expert Techniques to Maximize Your Profits 12/5/2004
Tip 102 'Neural Network Control System for Steam Injection' 9/5/2004
Tip 096 'Evolving Inventions' by John Koza, Martin Keane and Matthew Streeter 2/5/2003 2/5/2003
Tip 079 XBRL: eXtensible Business Reporting Language 12/1/2000
Tip 066 'Swarm Smarts, Solving Complex Problems Using Ant Models' 2/1/2000
Tip 062 Faster: The Acceleration of Just About Everything by James Gleick 10/1/1999
Tip 051 Neural Networks 4/1/1999 2/5/2017
Tip 017 Agent-Based Simulation 4/1/1997 11/5/2017

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EVALUATION TECHNIQUES

Tip Topic Date Revised
Tip 133 Goal Seek Interpolation Method: Solving for IRR Example 9/26/2017
Tip 132 For Forecasts, Bet on Monte Carlo Methods 8/1/2016
Tip 131 Brain Rules: 12 Principles for Surviving and Thriving 11/1/2015
Tip 130 Brain Bugs: How the Brain's Flaws Shape Our Lives 2/1/2014
Tip 129 $3.29 million Watermelon: Fun with IRR 1/1/2014 1/1/2015
Tip 128 To Forgive Design: Understanding Failure 5/1/2013
Tip 127 Car Loan Interest Rate Calculation 4/1/2013
Tip 126 The Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable 4/1/2013
Tip 125 Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 3/1/2013
Tip 124 Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman 3/1/2013 2/1/2014
Tip 122 Advances in Decision Analysis from Foundations to Applications 8/1/2012
Tip 120 The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine 4/1/2011
Tip 119 Making Good Decisions 3/1/2011
Tip 118 This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly 7/1/2010
Tip 117 The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix It 7/1/2009
Tip 116 How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business 6/1/2008
Tip 115 Computerized Third Party (CTP) for group decision-making and negotiations 10/1/2006
Tip 113 Optimizer's Curse 5/1/2006
Tip 112 Forecasting Shareholder Value: The Missing Objective in Balanced Scorecards 5/1/2006 8/1/2006
Tip 111 Ahead of the Curve by Joseph Ellis 3/6/2006
Tip 110 Critical Chain Project Management by Lawrence P. Leach 1/6/2006 1/24/2006
Tip 109 EMV and Shareholder Value 1/6/2006
Tip 106 Justifying Training with Performance Improvement 2/5/2005
Tip 101 'Why Monte Carlo Simulations of Project Networks Can Mislead' 9/5/2004
Tip 099 Model and Software Risks 7/5/2003
Tip 098 Risk, Uncertainty and Investment Decision-Making in the Upstream O&G Industry 7/5/2003
Tip 085 Cash Counts 6/5/2001
Tip 084 'Tvalue' program for time value and amortization calculations 3/5/2001
Tip 081 'AI Trilogy' (software for predicting, classifying, and optimizing) 2/5/2001
Tip 080 Conditional Cell Formatting in Excel 1/5/2001 4/1/2002
Tip 079 XBRL: eXtensible Business Reporting Language 12/1/2000
Tip 077 Reverse Auctions 11/1/2000 12/1/2000
Tip 076 'Making Decisions with Precision' (optimization software) 10/1/2000
Tip 075 Not 'Estimating' Chance of Success 10/1/2000
Tip 068 Irrational Exuberance by Robert Shiller 4/1/2000
Tip 067 Dow 36,000 by Glassman and Hassett (includes Buffett reference) 3/1/2000 3/1/2000
Tip 065 Choice of Denominator in Investment Ranking Criterion 2/1/2000
Tip 064 Calculate Return on Your Investment with Excel 1/1/2000 4/5/2017
Tip 061 Formatting Thousands and Millions in Excel 10/1/1999
Tip 058 Real Options: Managing Strategic Investment in an Uncertain World 7/1/1999
Tip 056 Risk Management: Concepts and Guidance by Carl Pritchard, Ed. 6/1/1999 1/5/2017
Tip 050 Financial Models Using Simulation and Optimization by W. Winston 3/1/1999
Tip 049 'Probabilistic Addition of Gas Reserves Within a Major Gas Project' 3/1/1999
Tip 047 Economic Risk in Hydrocarbon Exploration 2/1/1999
Tip 046 Number. of Combinations of Investment Alternatives 1/1/1999
Tip 045 Competitive Bidding: Bid Fraction 12/1/1998
Tip 037 'Repealing the Law of Averages' 3/1/1998
Tip 036 Soft vs. Hard Problems 3/1/1998
Tip 029 Monte Carlo Stopping Rule, Part 2 (see Tip 25) 1/1/1998 4/1/2000
Tip 027 5-Steps in the Creative Process 12/1/1997
Tip 026 Critical Chain 11/1/1997 3/1/2000
Tip 025 Monte Carlo Stopping Rule, Part 1 (see Tip 29) 10/1/1997 10/1/1997
Tip 023 Best Practices database 8/1/1997
Tip 022 'Analytica' 1.1 for Windows 7/1/1997
Tip 017 Agent-Based Simulation 4/1/1997 11/5/2017
Tip 014 Gradient Formula in Engineering Economics 12/1/1996 8/1/1999
Tip 013 'Creativity in OR/MS: Creativity-Enhancing Strategies' Interfaces 12/1/1996 3/1/1997
Tip 012 'PrecisionTree' Software 12/1/1996
Tip 005 Restructuring Costs to Fudge the Numbers 6/1/1996
Tip 004 Modeling for Learning Organizations 6/1/1996
Tip 003 '@RISK' 3.5 for Excel 7.0 5/1/1996
Tip 002 Making Hard Decisions by Robert Clemen 8/1/1996 8/1/1996
Tip 001 Correct Setup for HP-12c Calculators 8/1/1996 4/5/2017

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MARKETS AND TRADING

Tip Topic Date Revised
Tip 126 The Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable 4/1/2013
Tip 125 Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 3/1/2013
Tip 124 Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman 3/1/2013 2/1/2014
Tip 123 The Coming Generational Storm: What You Need to Know about America ... 9/1/2012
Tip 121 The Clash of Generations: Saving Ourselves, Our Kids, and Our Economy 4/1/2012 9/1/2012
Tip 120 The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine 4/1/2011
Tip 118 This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly 7/1/2010
Tip 113 Optimizer's Curse 5/1/2006
Tip 112 Forecasting Shareholder Value: The Missing Objective in Balanced Scorecards 5/1/2006 8/1/2006
Tip 111 Ahead of the Curve by Joseph Ellis 3/6/2006
Tip 109 EMV and Shareholder Value 1/6/2006
Tip 107 Our Final Hour: A Scientist's Warning by Martin Rees 3/1/2005
Tip 103 Trading Chaos: Applying Expert Techniques to Maximize Your Profits 12/5/2004
Tip 100 Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds 11/5/2003
Tip 097 'Portfolio Management: What is the Contribution to Shareholder Value?' 6/5/2003
Tip 095 Markets, Mobs & Mayhemby Robert Menschel 1/5/2003
Tip 092 More Warren Buffett books by Robert Hagstrom 2/5/2002
Tip 091 Toward Rational Exuberance by Mark Smith 1/5/2002
Tip 088 The Essential Buffett: Timeless Principles for the New Economy 12/5/2001
Tip 048 'A Multifractal Walk down Wall Street' 2/1/1999
Tip 007 A Random Walk Down Wall Street 8/1/1996

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PROJECT MANAGEMENT

Tip Topic Date Revised
Tip 128 To Forgive Design: Understanding Failure 5/1/2013
Tip 117 The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix It 7/1/2009
Tip 116 How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business 6/1/2008
Tip 115 Computerized Third Party (CTP) for group decision-making and negotiations 10/1/2006
Tip 110 Critical Chain Project Management by Lawrence P. Leach 1/6/2006 1/24/2006
Tip 101 'Why Monte Carlo Simulations of Project Networks Can Mislead' 9/5/2004
Tip 087 Benefit of project risk management, and three types of model variables 10/5/2001
Tip 071 PMBOK® Guide, Project Management Body of Knowledge 5/1/2000 10/5/2017
Tip 056 Risk Management: Concepts and Guidance by Carl Pritchard, Ed. 6/1/1999 1/5/2017
Tip 055 Critical path concept is the key idea for a new drillship design 5/1/1999 12/1/2000
Tip 054 Practical Risk Assessment for Project Management by S. Gray 5/1/1999
Tip 039 Project Management in the Fast Lane: Applying the Theory of Constraints 8/1/1998
Tip 026 Critical Chain 11/1/1997 3/1/2000
Tip 024 Participative Management (OBM) 8/1/1997
Tip 018 'Planning for Crises in Project Management' PMJ 5/1/1997
Tip 015 Decision Analysis in Projects available 1/1/1997 1/5/2017
Tip 010 'Project Risks and Risk Allocation' 9/1/1996

Return to Top of Page


STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY

Tip Topic Date Revised
Tip 132 For Forecasts, Bet on Monte Carlo Methods 8/1/2016
Tip 128 To Forgive Design: Understanding Failure 5/1/2013
Tip 122 Advances in Decision Analysis from Foundations to Applications 8/1/2012
Tip 119 Making Good Decisions 3/1/2011
Tip 118 This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly 7/1/2010
Tip 117 The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix It 7/1/2009
Tip 116 How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business 6/1/2008
Tip 114 Last Days on Earth (20/20) 8/1/2006
Tip 113 Optimizer's Curse 5/1/2006
Tip 111 Ahead of the Curve by Joseph Ellis 3/6/2006
Tip 104 Geometric Mean and Harmonic Mean 1/5/2005
Tip 094 Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Taleb 10/5/2002
Tip 075 Not 'Estimating' Chance of Success 10/1/2000
Tip 059 Seeing Tomorrow: Rewriting the Rules of Risk 9/1/1999
Tip 058 Real Options: Managing Strategic Investment in an Uncertain World 7/1/1999
Tip 047 Economic Risk in Hydrocarbon Exploration 2/1/1999
Tip 046 Number. of Combinations of Investment Alternatives 1/1/1999
Tip 037 'Repealing the Law of Averages' 3/1/1998
Tip 033 Answer to the 'The Three Cards' Teaser Problem 1/1/1998
Tip 032 Visual Revelations by Howard Wainer 1/1/1998
Tip 031 Teaser Problem: 'The Three Cards' 1/1/1998
Tip 030 Improve Your Lottery Expected Value 1/1/1998
Tip 029 Monte Carlo Stopping Rule, Part 2 (see Tip 25) 1/1/1998 4/1/2000
Tip 026 Critical Chain 11/1/1997 3/1/2000
Tip 025 Monte Carlo Stopping Rule, Part 1 (see Tip 29) 10/1/1997 10/1/1997
Tip 021 Switch Award Paradox 7/1/1997 8/1/1997
Tip 020 Why Flip a Coin: The Art and Science of Good Decisions 7/1/1997
Tip 009 The Problem with Girls (See also Tip 31) 8/1/1996 1/1/1998
Tip 006 'The New Religion of Risk Management' 7/1/1996

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COMPLETE TIPS LIST

Tip Topic Date Revised
Tip 133 Goal Seek Interpolation Method: Solving for IRR Example 9/26/2017
Tip 132 For Forecasts, Bet on Monte Carlo Methods 8/1/2016
Tip 131 Brain Rules: 12 Principles for Surviving and Thriving 11/1/2015
Tip 130 Brain Bugs: How the Brain's Flaws Shape Our Lives 2/1/2014
Tip 129 $3.29 million Watermelon: Fun with IRR 1/1/2014 1/1/2015
Tip 128 To Forgive Design: Understanding Failure 5/1/2013
Tip 127 Car Loan Interest Rate Calculation 4/1/2013
Tip 126 The Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable 4/1/2013
Tip 125 Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 3/1/2013
Tip 124 Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman 3/1/2013 2/1/2014
Tip 123 The Coming Generational Storm: What You Need to Know about America ... 9/1/2012
Tip 122 Advances in Decision Analysis from Foundations to Applications 8/1/2012
Tip 121 The Clash of Generations: Saving Ourselves, Our Kids, and Our Economy 4/1/2012 9/1/2012
Tip 120 The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine 4/1/2011
Tip 119 Making Good Decisions 3/1/2011
Tip 118 This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly 7/1/2010
Tip 117 The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix It 7/1/2009
Tip 116 How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business 6/1/2008
Tip 115 Computerized Third Party (CTP) for group decision-making and negotiations 10/1/2006
Tip 114 Last Days on Earth (20/20) 8/1/2006
Tip 113 Optimizer's Curse 5/1/2006
Tip 112 Forecasting Shareholder Value: The Missing Objective in Balanced Scorecards 5/1/2006 8/1/2006
Tip 111 Ahead of the Curve by Joseph Ellis 3/6/2006
Tip 110 Critical Chain Project Management by Lawrence P. Leach 1/6/2006 1/24/2006
Tip 109 EMV and Shareholder Value 1/6/2006
Tip 108 Decision-making styles of women vs. men 11/5/2005
Tip 107 Our Final Hour: A Scientist's Warning by Martin Rees 3/1/2005
Tip 106 Justifying Training with Performance Improvement 2/5/2005
Tip 105 The Paradox of Choice by Barry Schwartz 2/5/2005
Tip 104 Geometric Mean and Harmonic Mean 1/5/2005
Tip 103 Trading Chaos: Applying Expert Techniques to Maximize Your Profits 12/5/2004
Tip 102 'Neural Network Control System for Steam Injection' 9/5/2004
Tip 101 'Why Monte Carlo Simulations of Project Networks Can Mislead' 9/5/2004
Tip 100 Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds 11/5/2003
Tip 099 Model and Software Risks 7/5/2003
Tip 098 Risk, Uncertainty and Investment Decision-Making in the Upstream O&G Industry 7/5/2003
Tip 097 'Portfolio Management: What is the Contribution to Shareholder Value?' 6/5/2003
Tip 096 'Evolving Inventions' by John Koza, Martin Keane and Matthew Streeter 2/5/2003 2/5/2003
Tip 095 Markets, Mobs & Mayhemby Robert Menschel 1/5/2003
Tip 094 Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Taleb 10/5/2002
Tip 093 Jack: Straight from the Gut by Jack Welch 2/5/2002
Tip 092 More Warren Buffett books by Robert Hagstrom 2/5/2002
Tip 091 Toward Rational Exuberance by Mark Smith 1/5/2002
Tip 090 John's advice to young people for a great career and happy life 1/5/2002
Tip 089 Good to Great by Jim Collins (exceptional business management book) 1/5/2002
Tip 088 The Essential Buffett: Timeless Principles for the New Economy 12/5/2001
Tip 087 Benefit of project risk management, and three types of model variables 10/5/2001
Tip 086 'Why So Many People Made So Many Brain-Dead Investments' 8/5/2001
Tip 085 Cash Counts 6/5/2001
Tip 084 'Tvalue' program for time value and amortization calculations 3/5/2001
Tip 081 'AI Trilogy' (software for predicting, classifying, and optimizing) 2/5/2001
Tip 080 Conditional Cell Formatting in Excel 1/5/2001 4/1/2002
Tip 079 XBRL: eXtensible Business Reporting Language 12/1/2000
Tip 078 'America, the beautiful carbon sink' by Peter Huber 12/1/2000
Tip 077 Reverse Auctions 11/1/2000 12/1/2000
Tip 076 'Making Decisions with Precision' (optimization software) 10/1/2000
Tip 075 Not 'Estimating' Chance of Success 10/1/2000
Tip 074 The Greatest Inventions of the Past 2,000 Years 7/1/2000
Tip 073 Re-Creating the Corporation by Russell Ackoff 7/1/2000
Tip 072 Managing by the Numbers by Chuck Kremer, et al. 6/1/2000 11/5/2017
Tip 071 PMBOK® Guide, Project Management Body of Knowledge 5/1/2000 10/5/2017
Tip 070 'Process Control with Intelligence: A Unified Approach' 5/1/2000
Tip 069 'Lessons Learned Through Process Thinking and Review' 4/1/2000
Tip 068 Irrational Exuberance by Robert Shiller 4/1/2000
Tip 067 Dow 36,000 by Glassman and Hassett (includes Buffett reference) 3/1/2000 3/1/2000
Tip 066 'Swarm Smarts, Solving Complex Problems Using Ant Models' 2/1/2000
Tip 065 Choice of Denominator in Investment Ranking Criterion 2/1/2000
Tip 064 Calculate Return on Your Investment with Excel 1/1/2000 4/5/2017
Tip 063 The Accidental Theorist by Paul Krugman 11/1/1999
Tip 062 Faster: The Acceleration of Just About Everything by James Gleick 10/1/1999
Tip 061 Formatting Thousands and Millions in Excel 10/1/1999
Tip 060 PowerPoint: an Inferior Solution ... for me 9/1/1999 12/1/2000
Tip 059 Seeing Tomorrow: Rewriting the Rules of Risk 9/1/1999
Tip 058 Real Options: Managing Strategic Investment in an Uncertain World 7/1/1999
Tip 057 The McKinsey Way by Ethan Raisel 6/1/1999
Tip 056 Risk Management: Concepts and Guidance by Carl Pritchard, Ed. 6/1/1999 1/5/2017
Tip 055 Critical path concept is the key idea for a new drillship design 5/1/1999 12/1/2000
Tip 054 Practical Risk Assessment for Project Management by S. Gray 5/1/1999
Tip 053 The Ostrich Factor: Our Population Myopia 5/1/1999 1/1/2000
Tip 052 Smart Choices: A Practical Guide to Making Better Decisions 4/1/1999 5/1/1999
Tip 051 Neural Networks 4/1/1999 2/5/2017
Tip 050 Financial Models Using Simulation and Optimization by W. Winston 3/1/1999
Tip 049 'Probabilistic Addition of Gas Reserves Within a Major Gas Project' 3/1/1999
Tip 048 'A Multifractal Walk down Wall Street' 2/1/1999
Tip 047 Economic Risk in Hydrocarbon Exploration 2/1/1999
Tip 046 Number. of Combinations of Investment Alternatives 1/1/1999
Tip 045 Competitive Bidding: Bid Fraction 12/1/1998
Tip 044 'The Perfect Decision', Inc. interview with Ralph Keeney et al. 10/1/1998 5/1/1999
Tip 043 The Enlightened Manager's Guidebook by Abraham Maslow 10/1/1998
Tip 042 'Management's New Paradigms' by Peter Drucker 9/1/1998 10/1/1998
Tip 041 'Of Mice and Economics' -- People resist a major precept of economics 8/1/1998
Tip 040 Billions & Billions by Carl Sagan 8/1/1998 6/5/2017
Tip 039 Project Management in the Fast Lane: Applying the Theory of Constraints 8/1/1998
Tip 038 Company Value Added by OBM 6/1/1998 8/1/1998
Tip 037 'Repealing the Law of Averages' 3/1/1998
Tip 036 Soft vs. Hard Problems 3/1/1998
Tip 035 'The End of Cheap Oil' 3/1/1998 6/1/1999
Tip 034 Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk 2/1/1998
Tip 033 Answer to the 'The Three Cards' Teaser Problem 1/1/1998
Tip 032 Visual Revelations by Howard Wainer 1/1/1998
Tip 031 Teaser Problem: 'The Three Cards' 1/1/1998
Tip 030 Improve Your Lottery Expected Value 1/1/1998
Tip 029 Monte Carlo Stopping Rule, Part 2 (see Tip 25) 1/1/1998 4/1/2000
Tip 027 5-Steps in the Creative Process 12/1/1997
Tip 026 Critical Chain 11/1/1997 3/1/2000
Tip 025 Monte Carlo Stopping Rule, Part 1 (see Tip 29) 10/1/1997 10/1/1997
Tip 024 Participative Management (OBM) 8/1/1997
Tip 023 Best Practices database 8/1/1997
Tip 022 'Analytica' 1.1 for Windows 7/1/1997
Tip 021 Switch Award Paradox 7/1/1997 8/1/1997
Tip 020 Why Flip a Coin: The Art and Science of Good Decisions 7/1/1997
Tip 019 'Evaluation of Vision Correction Alternatives for Myopic Adults' 5/1/1997
Tip 018 'Planning for Crises in Project Management' PMJ 5/1/1997
Tip 017 Agent-Based Simulation 4/1/1997 11/5/2017
Tip 016 Shareholders Aren't Everything'; Built to Last; Three Cheers for Capitalism 2/1/1997
Tip 015 Decision Analysis in Projects available 1/1/1997 1/5/2017
Tip 014 Gradient Formula in Engineering Economics 12/1/1996 8/1/1999
Tip 013 'Creativity in OR/MS: Creativity-Enhancing Strategies' Interfaces 12/1/1996 3/1/1997
Tip 012 'PrecisionTree' Software 12/1/1996
Tip 011 Wise Choices: Decisions, Games, and Negotiations 10/1/1996
Tip 010 'Project Risks and Risk Allocation' 9/1/1996
Tip 009 The Problem with Girls (See also Tip 31) 8/1/1996 1/1/1998
Tip 008 The Ford Pinto Case: A Study in Applied Ethics, Business and Technology 8/1/1996
Tip 007 A Random Walk Down Wall Street 8/1/1996
Tip 006 'The New Religion of Risk Management' 7/1/1996
Tip 005 Restructuring Costs to Fudge the Numbers 6/1/1996
Tip 004 Modeling for Learning Organizations 6/1/1996
Tip 003 '@RISK' 3.5 for Excel 7.0 5/1/1996
Tip 002 Making Hard Decisions by Robert Clemen 8/1/1996 8/1/1996
Tip 001 Correct Setup for HP-12c Calculators 8/1/1996 4/5/2017

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